Signs Point to Potential Reversal in Beaten-Down Assets as Sentiment Hits Extreme Lows
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Market sentiment and positioning is very negative right now, indicating a reversal may be approaching.
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Hedge funds are overcrowded short bonds, suggesting the bond selloff may be ending soon. This could boost beaten down areas like banks and emerging markets.
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The 2001-2007 period saw a massive rally in emerging markets, small caps, and value stocks. Something similar may happen over the next 3 years.
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Equity exposure by active investment managers has dropped significantly in recent weeks, leaving room for an end-of-year chase higher when sentiment shifts.
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Retail investors are very fearful, with various sentiment surveys showing high bearishness. When the tide turns, there could be a powerful move higher.