Posted 2/12/2024, 4:37:00 PM
Soft landing hopes fade as lagging rate hikes threaten fragile economy
- A soft landing for the US economy now has less than a 50% chance of happening, according to Apollo Management's chief economist
- Financial conditions are easing with more bonds being issued, IPO market rebounding, and increase in M&A activity
- Job market has strengthened with 353,000 jobs added in January and hot economic data
- Lagged effects of Fed rate hikes are slowing consumers, businesses, and bank lending
- The economy is in a fragile balance between easing financial conditions and lagged impacts of rate hikes