Posted 3/26/2024, 3:06:04 PM
AI System GPT-4 Outperforms Humans and Even Crowds at Predicting the Future
- An AI called GPT-4 can predict future events more accurately than individual humans
- In some cases, GPT-4 outperforms even the "wisdom of crowds"
- GPT-4 can make predictions about events like elections, stock markets, and economic trends
- Humans are generally bad at predicting the future on an individual level
- Crowdsourced predictions that aggregate many people's forecasts tend to be more accurate