Posted 10/8/2023, 3:00:20 PM
Home Prices Stabilize as Housing Market Follows 1980s Pattern, Not 2008 Crash
- Bank of America economists say housing market more like 1980s than 2008 crash
- Builders not overdeveloping like pre-2008, buyers not overleveraging
- Inflation high like early 1980s, Fed raising rates hurting housing
- Mortgage rates doubled from 3% in 2022 like 9% to 18% in 1981
- Home prices surged then flattened in 1979-82, similar to 2021-2022
- Existing home sales dropped 54% peak to trough then, 40% so far now
- Leverage not as concerning now with lower debt to income ratio
- Big headwinds ahead are low inventory, high prices, labor shortages
- Only rate cuts can improve affordability and stabilize housing market