Spending Cools as Rates Rise Toward 'New Normal'
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Consumer spending is leveling off as price increases catch up to earlier wage gains, moving toward equilibrium.
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BofA predicts the Fed will start cutting rates later this year, continuing cuts into 2024 to reach equilibrium around 3-3.5% by end of 2025.
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BofA CEO expects consumers will adapt to higher rates, though it may take time. Says people will "get used to mortgage rates of 6, 7 percent."
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The current housing market shows similarities to 1980s when rates soared over 18% before falling.
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After 15 years of near-zero rates, it will take time for consumers and markets to adjust as rates normalize.