Main Topic: U.S. inflation and the Federal Reserve's efforts to control it.
Key Points:
1. U.S. inflation has declined for 12 straight months, but consumer prices increased 3% year-on-year in June.
2. The Federal Reserve aims to reduce inflation to about 2% and plans to raise its key federal funds rate to over 5%.
3. The Fed is concerned about high inflation due to a strong labor market, rising wages, and increased consumer spending, and aims to slow the job market to control inflation.
The cryptocurrency market has experienced a notable downturn, with the total market capitalization falling by 10% and triggering significant liquidations on futures contracts, attributed to factors such as rising interest rates, inflation, delays in approving a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), financial difficulties within the Digital Currency Group (DCG), regulatory tightening, and a strengthening US dollar.
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia believes that the US central bank has already raised interest rates enough to bring inflation down to pre-pandemic levels of around 2%.
The spike in retail inflation has raised uncertainty for investors and savers, with expectations of interest rate cuts being pushed to the next fiscal year and the possibility of a rate hike. The Reserve Bank of India projects inflation to stay above 5% until the first quarter of 2024-25, and food price pressures are expected to persist. While inflation may impact stock market returns, gold and bank deposit rates are expected to remain steady.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are experiencing a slip in price after key inflation data, causing concerns for the upcoming month of September, which has historically been challenging for Bitcoin.
The latest inflation data suggests that price increases are cooling down, increasing the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in their upcoming meeting.
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge increased slightly in July, suggesting that the fight against inflation may be challenging, but the absence of worse news indicates that officials are likely to maintain interest rates.
The U.S. is currently experiencing a prolonged high inflation cycle that is causing significant damage to the purchasing power of the currency, and the recent lower inflation rate is misleading as it ignores the accumulated harm; in order to combat this cycle, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates higher than the inflation rate and reverse its bond purchases.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains near a key long-term trendline as the U.S. dollar strengthens, with market participants predicting further downside for BTC and altcoins.
Inflation has decreased significantly in recent months, but the role of the Federal Reserve in this decline is questionable as there is little evidence to suggest that higher interest rates led to lower prices and curtailed demand or employment. Other factors such as falling energy prices and the healing of disrupted supply chains appear to have had a larger impact on slowing inflation.
The United States Federal Reserve's financial woes and potential implications for cryptocurrency are discussed on the latest episode of "Macro Markets," highlighting challenges posed by inflation and the consequences of loose monetary policies during the pandemic.
The Wall Street Journal reports a notable shift in the stance of Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rates, with some officials now seeing risks as more balanced due to easing inflation and a less overheated labor market, which could impact the timing of future rate hikes. In other news, consumer credit growth slows in July, China and Japan reduce holdings of U.S. Treasury securities to record lows, and Russia's annual inflation rate reached 5.2% in August 2023.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies have been experiencing a steady decline in prices due to concerns from the Federal Reserve, leading to warnings of a potential price crash, although some analysts remain hopeful for improvement.
Popular analyst Arthur Hayes argues that traditional economic theories about Bitcoin's relationship with interest rates will fail due to the US government's substantial debt, as inflation may become "sticky" and bond yields may not keep up with GDP growth, leading bondholders to seek higher yielding "risk assets" like Bitcoin.
Bitcoin (BTC) experiences volatility following a higher-than-expected CPI report, with traders wary of the Wall Street open and inflation concerns.
The recent increase in interest rates has impacted the price of bitcoin, with factors like opportunity cost, risk sentiment, and inflation expectations playing a role.
Cryptocurrency prices remained stable as inflation in the U.S. surpassed economists' expectations, with Bitcoin trading at around $26,100 and Ethereum experiencing a slight dip of 0.5%. The Federal Reserve will consider this report, among other factors, for its upcoming interest rate announcement on September 20. While inflation has decreased since June, it still exceeds the Fed's target of 2% annually. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy costs, decreased to 4.3% in August compared to July's 4.7%.
Stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data, including a rise in producer prices and retail sales, has sparked concerns about sticky inflation and has reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer.
Bitcoin, ethereum, BNB, and XRP have experienced a strong price rally in 2023, but a small cryptocurrency has surpassed them, while the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions could impact the bitcoin price.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced a rise in value as traders made bullish bets in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, though this surge may be premature.
The Federal Reserve will continue raising interest rates until inflation decreases, even if it means more people losing their jobs, according to CNBC's Jim Cramer.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced a decline after the Federal Reserve decided not to raise interest rates, suggesting that significant gains may not be anticipated in the near future.
The Federal Reserve's measure of inflation is disconnected from market conditions, increasing the likelihood of a recession, according to Duke University finance professor Campbell Harvey. If the central bank continues to raise interest rates based on this flawed inflation gauge, the severity of the economic downturn could worsen.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are experiencing a decline in prices due to a strengthening dollar and risk-aversion, but there is hope for a rebound.
Despite expectations of higher interest rates causing a spike in unemployment and a recession, the Federal Reserve's rate hikes have managed to slow inflation without dire consequences, thanks to factors such as replenished supplies, changes in the job market, and continued consumer and business spending.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are seeing a slight increase, but they are still facing pressure due to rising bond yields and uncertainty over interest rates and Federal Reserve policy.
Inflation is expected to rebound in 2024 due to a mismatch between supply and demand created by the shift from services to goods during the pandemic, as well as a chronic shortage of workers, according to BlackRock strategists. This could lead to higher interest rates and a higher risk of recession.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remained stable or slightly increased in value despite market turbulence, raising questions about the stability of Bitcoin.
The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation decreased in August, indicating that efforts to combat inflation are progressing, although there are still price growth pressures that could lead to further interest rate hikes by the central bank.
The U.S. economy is experiencing turbulence, as inflation rates rise and U.S. Treasuries lose value, leading to concerns about whether Bitcoin and risk-on assets will be negatively impacted by higher interest rates and a cooling monetary policy.
Fidelity Investments' global macro director believes that a recession could lead to a significant rally for Bitcoin, with the potential for prices to reach $96,210 by the end of 2025 if interest rates decline. He also suggests that Bitcoin's correlation with equities has decreased, making it a potential source of uncorrelated returns in the next market cycle.
Major cryptocurrencies experienced a decline due to a surge in the U.S. 10-year yield, while interest rates continued to rise driven by strong manufacturing data and the possibility of more rate hikes in the future.
Bitcoin's price is increasing despite a mixed market for cryptocurrencies and spiking bond yields.
Bitcoin is outperforming the US dollar in terms of beating inflation, as shown by the St. Louis Federal Reserve's comparison of the prices of a dozen eggs in both currencies since January 2021.
Bitcoin's price experienced volatility and dropped 2.1% after strong US employment data dampened expectations of further Federal Reserve counterinflation measures, but rebounded with $27,700 back in focus; Bitcoin open interest also declined.
A spike in interest rates has negatively impacted stocks and bonds, but Bitcoin may continue to rise regardless of the rate changes.
Stock markets are wavering as investors anticipate another rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, fearing its impact on the global economy, however, recent inflation data suggests that inflation is declining and consumer spending is rising.
Underlying US inflation is expected to rise, supporting the idea that interest rates will need to remain higher for a longer period of time, as indicated by central bankers.
The upcoming monthly inflation report is expected to show that inflation in the US is cooling off, with overall prices for consumers rising by 0.2% compared to August and 3.6% compared to a year ago, indicating slower price increases in September than in August. However, if the report reveals that inflation remained higher than expected, especially in core areas, it may prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again, further slowing the economy.
Financial markets are under pressure after wholesale inflation data came in higher than expected, raising the likelihood of additional interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, while Bitcoin faces selling pressure and shows signs of a potential downward trend according to analysts.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains stable as U.S. inflation data surpasses expectations, leading to uncertainty in monetary policy and the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates; market participants are cautious about a potential upside for BTC in the short term.
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are down following the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which showed slowing inflation, with experts noting that investors are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset and CPI figures are becoming less relevant for the crypto market.
