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Bitwise Strengthens Case for Bitcoin ETF Approval, Citing CME Futures Market Importance

  • Bitwise filed an amendment to its Bitcoin spot ETF application with new arguments against SEC's rationale for rejecting it.

  • Bitwise claims CME Bitcoin futures market leads spot market in price discovery and can counter manipulation.

  • Bitwise cites studies showing CME futures account for over 50% of Bitcoin's price discovery.

  • Bitwise argues SEC should state a higher threshold for futures market significance if 50% isn't enough.

  • Bitwise aims to bolster its case as SEC may appeal court ruling against rejecting spot ETFs arbitrarily.

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The US Court of Appeals has once again delayed its decision on whether Grayscale can convert its Bitcoin Trust into a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), causing uncertainty and leaving investors waiting for clarity.
Hashdex, a crypto asset management company, has submitted an application to the SEC for a Bitcoin futures ETF that will hold spot Bitcoin, taking a different approach from other filings by acquiring spot Bitcoin from physical exchanges within the CME market instead of depending on the Coinbase surveillance sharing agreement.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission is seeing a surge in proposals for crypto ETFs, including spot bitcoin ETFs and ether futures ETFs, which could have significant impacts on the adoption of cryptocurrencies, market moves, and the potential outperformance of various tokens.
A series of Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) applications have been submitted to the SEC, potentially offering investors a more accessible way to invest in cryptocurrency and bridging the gap between traditional finance and digital assets.
The SEC is facing deadlines to decide on seven new Bitcoin spot ETF applications, with analysts stating that the best-case scenario is approval, but the SEC may also exercise its right to appeal.
Bitcoin prices surged 7% after a federal appeals court ordered the US Securities and Exchange Commission to reconsider its rejection of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's bid to convert into an exchange-traded fund (ETF), potentially opening the door for a spot Bitcoin ETF in the US; however, some remain cautious about the optimism surrounding the decision.
Bitcoin led the cryptocurrency market higher following Grayscale's victory in the lawsuit against the SEC, but analysts caution that the victory does not guarantee the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF.
A federal appeals court ruling has opened the door for the launch of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), with a number of high-profile asset managers potentially being approved to enter the market, leading to increased competition and potential fee reduction for fund managers.
Bloomberg ETF analysts have increased the probability of an approved spot Bitcoin ETF by the end of 2023 to 75% following a recent Grayscale victory against the SEC, with approvals estimated to reach 95% by Q4 2024, making a denial politically untenable.
CME's Bitcoin futures market has become the second-largest trading platform, with open interest reaching $2.24 billion, as it remains unaffected by price drops and offers monthly cash-settled contracts that differ from perpetual contracts on crypto exchanges. However, the trading dynamics and pricing mechanism of CME's Bitcoin futures do not flawlessly mirror Bitcoin's price movements on crypto exchanges.
Bitwise has unexpectedly withdrawn its application for a Bitcoin and Ether Market Cap Weight Strategy exchange-traded fund (ETF), leading to speculation about a potential reassessment of its strategy.
Former SEC chair Jay Clayton believes that the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is inevitable, as major financial institutions backing BTC investment vehicles represent a shift in how retail investors can access crypto. The SEC has 45 days to approve, deny, or delay ETF applications from 7 major firms.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) may have suffered setbacks in its regulation-by-enforcement approach to the cryptocurrency industry, with the latest ruling in favor of Grayscale Investments potentially paving the way for the emergence of a bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF); however, the SEC could appeal the decision or find new ways to deny similar applications, and the lack of a regulated exchange for the bitcoin spot market remains a challenge. Despite court challenges, SEC Chair Gary Gensler is expected to continue pursuing his regulation tactics, while Congress and a potential Republican president in 2024 may play a role in shaping the regulatory environment for digital assets.
Bitcoin's volatility has increased as the market reacts to news regarding the United States Securities and Exchange Commission's delay on Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications, with Bloomberg analysts remaining optimistic about the possibility of Bitcoin ETFs being approved in 2023.
Bitcoin may experience a bull market if a spot-based Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) is approved around the time of the next halving, leading to a supply and demand shock in the cryptocurrency market.
The pursuit of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) may contradict the purpose and ideals of the crypto industry, as it undermines financial sovereignty and poses unnecessary counterparty risks, while potentially impeding mainstream adoption and the ownership of actual Bitcoin.
The market is underestimating the potential impact and value of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, with analysts arguing that approval would lead to significant financial inflows and buying pressure, and that it is a good time to enter the market and start building a crypto portfolio, despite regulatory challenges. Ethereum could also benefit from a futures-based ETF listing, but there is caution about the SEC potentially classifying ETH as a security. Overall, the global crypto adoption is dependent on market maturity, regulatory intervention, and consistent long-term adoption.
Franklin Templeton has filed for a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), which, if approved, would allow everyday investors to easily gain exposure to the price of bitcoin in their brokerage accounts.
The introduction of a bitcoin ETF could increase accessibility, liquidity, and institutional adoption, potentially stabilizing prices and attracting capital from mainstream investors, similar to the impact of gold ETFs on the gold market.
The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and raise its long-term forecast for the Federal Funds Rate surprised many market participants, causing a slight pullback in the stock and cryptocurrency markets while highlighting the need for investors to focus on the actual health and viability of companies and the utility of the crypto ecosystem. Additionally, the article speculates on the impact of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's ruling on Bitcoin spot ETF applications and the potential for cryptocurrency to become a mainstream alternative investment.
The SEC's delay in approving a Bitcoin ETF is causing bearish pressure on the Bitcoin market, but traders can mitigate risks and take advantage of downturns by using TradeSanta's automated trading tools.
Concordium CEO Lars Seyer Christensen and other experts caution crypto investors to have realistic expectations for the next bull market, stating that it will be different from previous cycles, and not all digital assets will increase in value. Some investors, however, believe that the market is already turning bullish and recommend investing in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and tokens with practical use cases. The approval of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the US and an improvement in the macroeconomic situation are seen as potential catalysts for the next bull market.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has further delayed the approval of Bitcoin spot ETF applications, setting January 10, 2024, as the final deadline for the Ark/21Shares ETF application, potentially dampening hopes for a spot ETF to be approved by the end of the year.
Bitwise Asset Management has announced the launch of two Ether futures ETFs on October 2, allowing investors to access Chicago Mercantile Exchange Ether futures.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are poised to be approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which would streamline institutional adoption of digital assets in the country and bring in fresh capital, as traditional financial institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and VanEck apply for spot Bitcoin ETF listings.
The number of ETFs tied to cryptocurrencies, particularly ether, is expanding rapidly, making it easier for financial professionals to gain exposure to the crypto market, while the launch of ether futures products may indicate optimism for the approval of spot bitcoin products by the SEC.
The CoinDesk Market Index (CMI) declined by -11% in the past quarter, with Bitcoin outperforming by -10.9% and Ether underperforming at -12.5%; however, Bitcoin and Ether have still shown impressive gains of 64% and 41% respectively for the year, highlighting their resilience as top-performing assets. Regulatory pressure on alternative tokens continues to drive a bifurcation in the crypto market between Bitcoin and Ether and other digital asset protocols, while the computing and DeFi sectors were relative outperformers in Q3 2023. The reduced level of risk, lower volatility, and decreased correlation with traditional equities suggest a maturation of the market or market illiquidity. Rising bond yields and tightening financial conditions may pose headwinds for crypto price appreciation, but the approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF could be a catalyst for breaking through these macroeconomic headwinds, enabling broader investor access and institutional adoption.
The SEC's engagement with spot bitcoin ETF applicants and positive developments from BlackRock indicate a high chance of approval for bitcoin spot ETFs by the end of 2023 or the first quarter of 2024, potentially leading to a wave of institutional investment and redefining investment dynamics.
Cathie Wood's Ark Invest has filed a second amended application for a Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF), addressing additional risk warnings associated with the Bitcoin network and ensuring that assets are kept separate from corporate or customer funds, indicating progress towards the approval of the industry's first spot Bitcoin ETF.
Approval of spot-based Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is partially priced in, leading to Bitcoin outperforming other cryptocurrencies, according to Coinbase Institutional, but once the ETFs are approved, Bitcoin's edge over the market may diminish.
The US SEC's decision not to appeal against a ruling rejecting a spot BTC ETF indicates evolving regulatory dynamics in the crypto market and could potentially lead to the approval of more spot bitcoin ETFs in the US, narrowing the gap with Europe and Canada.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has run out of time to appeal a court ruling that criticized its biased decision in approving a futures-based ETF while denying a similar spot market-based ETF, making the likelihood of a spot market bitcoin ETF listing by the end of the year almost certain, which would have significant implications for the crypto industry and potentially raise bitcoin's price.
The intense interest in spot market bitcoin ETFs stems from the desire to bridge the gap between traditional finance and the bitcoin asset class, allowing access to billions of dollars of sidelined capital, despite the SEC's historical rejection of spot-based BTC ETF applications due to concerns of market manipulation and inadequate market surveillance systems.
According to data analytics firm CryptoQuant, the approval of bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) could lead to bitcoin becoming a $900 billion asset and the total crypto market growing by $1 trillion, with the potential inflow from ETFs being larger than that of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) in the last bull market cycle. This scenario could push bitcoin's price to between $50,000 and $73,000, and historically, for every $1 of fresh money entering the bitcoin market, the market capitalization could increase by $3-$5.
Bitcoin surged to a two-month high as Fidelity, along with other firms, amended their spot bitcoin ETF filings, suggesting ongoing discussions with regulators and boosting bullish sentiment among traders.
Fidelity has amended its Bitcoin ETF application and emphasizes the risks associated with the product, as market analysts predict that a Bitcoin ETF is closer to approval, which could bring fresh capital into the market. However, concerns about the volatility of the crypto market and regulatory scrutiny remain. Several major Wall Street players have also applied for a Bitcoin ETF, and analysts believe there is a 90% chance of approval in January 2022.
A bitcoin spot ETF approval in the US could lead to a surge in bitcoin's market capitalization, potentially adding $1 trillion to the wider crypto market value.
Interest in the potential launch of a spot bitcoin ETF has surged among retail investors, as indicated by the worldwide Google search value for "spot bitcoin ETF" approaching its peak value of 100, signaling maximum interest, while the search value for "bitcoin ETF" has reached its highest level in two years. Retail investors are seeking information on how a spot ETF might impact the cryptocurrency market. The approval of a spot BTC ETF is seen as a significant milestone in bitcoin's mainstream adoption and is expected to bring increased liquidity.
Bitcoin surpassed $30,000 for the first time since August, driven by optimism that the SEC will approve exchange-traded funds (ETFs) investing directly in the cryptocurrency. Market participants anticipate approval of a spot bitcoin ETF by January 10th, the deadline for a response to ETF applications.
Coinbase's chief legal officer is optimistic that bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications will be approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, potentially boosting the price of bitcoin and benefiting crypto-linked stocks.
Bitcoin experienced a brief rally after news of the SEC approving a Bitcoin ETF turned out to be fake, revealing that price gains expected from an ETF approval were not already accounted for, while social media speculation continues regarding when the SEC will finally approve a Bitcoin ETF and New York's attorney general's lawsuit against Genesis raises questions about its subsidiary, Grayscale's chances of landing a Bitcoin ETF.
If the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approves a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), a top analyst predicts that Bitcoin could reach levels not seen since November 2021, potentially appreciating by over 100%.