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BofA sees "trouble" ahead for tech stocks despite big inflows

Tech stocks may face challenges in the second half of the year despite recent inflows, as central bank liquidity decreases and investors shift from equities to bonds.

yahoo.com
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Stocks are facing a "real" yield problem as investors become more focused on rising real yields, which could result in lower stock prices and a hit to the P/E multiple.
Strategists at BofA Global Research predict trouble for technology stocks in the second half of the year despite the sector's recent large inflows, pointing to the correlation between central bank liquidity and the Nasdaq Composite, which has outperformed by 28% this year, as evidence.
Investors expecting a continued surge in technology stocks due to enthusiasm over artificial intelligence may face trouble as central banks tighten monetary policy, according to Bank of America strategists. The correlation between central bank liquidity and tech stocks is a cause for concern, as central bank balance sheets have shrunk while the Nasdaq continues to climb, indicating potential risks ahead.
Tech shares boosted U.S. stock indexes despite higher yields on Treasurys, with investors scaling back on bets for interest-rate cuts due to the strong U.S. economy.
Tech stocks are exhibiting sell signals similar to previous market turning points, with valuations reaching unsustainable levels, a yield curve inversion indicating trouble ahead, and government funding and inflationary expectations creating economic challenges for long-duration assets.
Tech stocks are expected to continue their rally as a surge in spending on AI is anticipated to ease concerns about interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Tech stocks, including Consensus Cloud Solutions and Pegasystems, are predicted to rally into the year-end and benefit from the AI-driven growth of the tech industry, according to Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives.
Technology stocks appear to be defying the impact of higher interest rates and are continuing to perform strongly.
The top 25 stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed the index in the 35th week of 2023, with tech stocks leading the way, suggesting a return of bull markets and a decrease in recessionary fears; however, market health, the balance between developed and emerging markets, and investor behavior still need to be addressed. Additionally, market correlations have dropped since COVID, and on "down-market" days, correlations are 5% higher than on "up-market" days. Market correlations also decrease during upward economic cycles. Retail investors are showing a preference for dividend-driven investing and investing in AI stocks. The global subsidies race is impacting valuations in tech and leading to supply chain inefficiencies. As a result, there are opportunities for diversification and investment in a wide variety of equities and bonds.
The stock market sinks as a tech selloff occurs due to investors' fear of more Fed rate hikes, with Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia all experiencing significant declines.
The U.S. equity market faced challenges in August 2023, but analysts believe it may be a good time for retail investors to consider high-quality stocks like The Trade Desk and Pinterest, which have strong growth potential in the programmatic advertising and e-commerce sectors, respectively.
Big tech stocks and cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, may underperform in the coming years due to contracting market liquidity and the Federal Reserve's hawkish policies, according to crypto analyst Nicholas Merten.
The rally in technology stocks in 2023 may be in trouble, signaling a potential downturn for the sector.
Tesla's stock broke through upside technical resistance and entered a fresh bull market, thanks to bullish fundamental factors such as an analyst upgrade and the labor battles faced by its rivals.
Renowned investor Jeremy Grantham warns that the US tech bubble is on the verge of bursting due to inflated stock prices driven by AI hype, with a high chance of a US recession in the next 18 months. He advises caution in investing in US equities, real estate, and commodities, but sees compelling opportunities in climate-change stocks.
Tech stocks led a retreat on Wall Street as investors were concerned about the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its decision to keep interest rates steady, causing the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq Composite to decrease; Goldman Sachs has delayed its forecast for a Fed rate cut to the fourth quarter of 2024.
Big Tech stocks, driven by the promise of artificial intelligence, are experiencing a slowdown in their massive rally due to the Federal Reserve's indication of a restrictive monetary stance, causing declines in some tech giants' stock prices.