China Sets Modest 5% Growth Target for 2024 Amid Economic Headwinds
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China aims for 5% GDP growth in 2024, but facing headwinds like weak domestic demand and exports. Emerging sectors growing but unable to offset declines in traditional industries.
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Property market slide entering 4th year with no end in sight, remaining a drag on growth. Government offers few details on new real estate development model.
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Consumption contributed over 80% of 2023 growth, but retail sales slowing. Export growth in "new three" industries like EVs unable to offset overall export declines.
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Investment key to achieving 5% goal, but fiscal stimulus seen as modest. More special bonds may be needed to fund infrastructure and new economy sectors.
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Reforms needed to rein in high-risk local debt, swap out hidden debt, and improve resource allocation, but implementation remains challenging.