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Crypto Analyst Sees Further Downside for Bitcoin as Fed Tightening Reduces Liquidity

  • Crypto analyst Nicholas Merten predicts a $440 billion contraction in crypto market cap, with Bitcoin potentially falling to $15k-$16k.

  • Merten attributes the downturn to the Fed's hawkish policies reducing liquidity and impacting big tech stocks.

  • Merten argues Bitcoin thrives more in periods of monetary expansion vs. contraction.

  • At writing, Bitcoin was trading around $26.6k, up 1% in the past week.

  • Analyst says worst may not be over for Bitcoin as macro uncertainty continues.

benzinga.com
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Bitcoin's current market structure is similar to its setup before reaching its all-time high in November 2021, suggesting a potential bullish trajectory for the leading cryptocurrency, according to crypto expert Credible Crypto, who believes a breakout from the accumulation range could lead to a 120% rally and new all-time highs this year. However, a drop below $24.8k would invalidate this prediction.
Bitcoin might experience a period of stagnation followed by a potential peak at $200,000 by the end of 2025 or early 2026, according to a crypto analyst, although short-term prospects for Bitcoin appear challenging due to a comparison with the 1930s stock market and oversold condition.
Bitcoin has made a significant move upwards, approaching $27,000 after days of stagnation, although other cryptocurrencies such as SOL, ADA, TON, and MKR have outperformed it.
Bitcoin is predicted to reach a price of $148,000 after the next halving in April 2024, according to Pantera Capital, which manages $3.5 billion worth of assets, and notes that recent events such as the XRP ruling and endorsements by BlackRock are likely to contribute to the next bull market for digital assets.
Bloomberg Intelligence's senior macro strategist predicts a near-term bearish trend for Bitcoin, citing its failure to exhibit strength in a deflationary environment, but anticipates that it will eventually reach $100,000.
Bitcoin's price is closely linked to stock prices and has seen significant growth, outperforming Amazon over a 12-year period, according to Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone; however, he is skeptical about its move into the mainstream and warns of potential price declines when the masses invest. Other analysts speculate on Bitcoin's price, with predictions ranging from a dip to $23,500 to exceeding $30,000 by year-end. McGlone is known for identifying unique trends in Bitcoin, and JPMorgan suggests that the recent crypto asset selloffs are mostly over.
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood predicts that the market capitalization of cryptocurrencies will increase by over 2,100% in less than seven years, driven by institutional investment and the potential approval of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), with the total crypto market cap potentially reaching $25 trillion by 2030.
Bitcoin could experience a major market correction in September, potentially dropping by more than 16% based on historical performance and predictions by crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen.
Hundreds of millions of dollars worth of crypto assets have been liquidated as Bitcoin's price falls below $26,000, with the majority of the liquidations coming from exchanges such as OKX, Binance, and ByBit.
Bitcoin price action remains uncertain as traders and analysts are divided on its next moves, with downside predictions ranging from $25,000 to $23,000 and concerns of a potential double top structure if the $26,000 level is not reclaimed, while network fundamentals consolidate recent gains and macro markets stay quiet.
Despite the current market conditions, a crypto strategist believes that Bitcoin (BTC) could experience a significant upward movement, potentially forming a bullish higher-low setup after a possible drop to around $23,600.
Bitcoin continues to trade below $26,000, with the crypto market experiencing a sideways trend, while Deribit's options segment saw increased trading volume in August.
Bitcoin has experienced a significant decline of nearly 20% since Standard Chartered's prediction of reaching $120,000, with the cryptocurrency falling for a second consecutive month amid a broader sell-off in financial markets.
Bitcoin is predicted to reach $22,000 due to worsening investor sentiment and the impact of lawsuits against Binance and Coinbase, while BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes claims the bull market began in March.
Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $35,000 by the end of 2023, according to veteran analyst Filbfilb, who also predicts a potential price dip to the low $20,000 range before a reversal in Q4 and a price target of $46,000 by the 2024 halving. He believes that altcoins like XRP and Dogecoin (DOGE) could perform well in the next cycle.
Despite the recent downturn in the crypto market, a key Bitcoin metric shows that 95% of the existing supply of Bitcoin has not moved in the past 30 days, indicating strong holding behavior and potential for a price rally with a buy-side catalyst.
Bitcoin could decline by more than 60% if Apple's market cap continues to decline, according to crypto analyst Nicholas Merten. A plummeting Apple market cap would have a significant impact on Bitcoin and other equities.
Bitcoin trades at $25,933, up 0.66% as U.S. CPI data is anticipated to show a small increase in August, driven by rising oil prices, while digital assets remain stable due to short covering and liquidity crunch, although a sustained bullish momentum is yet to be seen; meanwhile, the price of CRV token falls by 3.3% following negative events and selling pressure.
The crypto industry experienced significant capital outflows of $55 billion in August, leading to a liquidity crunch that allows isolated events to have a greater impact on prices and market movements, according to an analysis from Bitfinex.
Bitcoin stabilizes around $26,500 as it prepares for the upcoming FOMC meeting, with traders expecting the cryptocurrency to continue trading within the $25,000-$27,000 range in the short term.
Bitcoin (BTC) surpasses $27,000, while ether (ETH) holds support levels, but interest-rate decisions this week may bring downward pressure; overall market capitalization grows just 0.4% in the past 24 hours.
Crypto strategist Credible Crypto suggests that Bitcoin could dip to around $24,900 but still remain on track for a bull market cycle, and he is closely monitoring Bitcoin options open interest as an indicator for the market bottom.
Deep-pocketed crypto investors have moved over $660 million worth of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Chainlink as Bitcoin's price drops below $27,000.
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown remarkable stability above the $26,000 level despite sell-offs in equity markets and a surging US dollar, potentially signaling a bullish cycle as long-term investors continue to accumulate.
Bitcoin (BTC) could experience a market correction and drop to $20,000 this year, according to a crypto analyst, who points to historical patterns, the presence of a trading gap, and a dip below the 50-week exponential moving average as indicators of a potential decline.
Bitcoin may be heading for a further price decline according to a top trader who previously predicted the cryptocurrency's 2018 bear market bottom, citing a bearish lower-high setup and an ABC corrective move that could push Bitcoin down to $23,800.
Bitcoin rose 2% to $26,750 during early U.S. trading hours, defying the strong dollar and driven by spot market buyers and a short squeeze, accompanied by an increase in net capital inflows in the spot market.
Crypto analyst predicts Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $89,000 by 2025, with a "max upside" of $142,000, depending on factors such as on-chain supply, the approval of spot BTC ETFs, and overall adoption of the cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin (BTC) holds steady at $27,500 as attention shifts to the volatile U.S. dollar, with market observers identifying $27,000 as a key support level for BTC price.
Bitcoin could potentially face a 60% price drop, as liquidity remains negative and global rates continue to rise, according to Bloomberg Intelligence senior macro strategist Mike McGlone. He also suggests that a stock market drawdown related to a recession poses the biggest risk for the overall cryptocurrency sector.
Bitcoin experienced a brief rally above $28,000 but quickly dropped to $27,300, remaining relatively flat compared to the wider crypto market; however, it is still defying the market rout in equity and U.S. Treasury bond trading, signaling a bull market, according to ByteTree's chief investment officer.
Bitcoin's market share in the crypto market has risen to 48.5% as investors turn to the original cryptocurrency amid rising geopolitical risks, while Ether's market dominance has declined to 17%.
Bitcoin price is predicted to reach $750,000 to $1 million by 2026, according to Arthur Hayes, who highlights a major financial crisis and mounting debt as catalysts for the cryptocurrency's surge.
Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX, predicts that the price of Bitcoin will reach $750,000 to $1 million by 2026 due to a major financial crisis and endless cycles of central bank printing that lead to inflation, preventing natural market cycles of growth and correction. He believes that mounting debt, out of control inflation, and the insolvency of the US banking system will contribute to Bitcoin's rise. However, he also expects a significant drawdown in BTC price after each bull market.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains stable near $26,800 as analysts await the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) decision regarding an appeal on the Grayscale ruling, with traders speculating potential price reversals and targets.
The bitcoin and wider crypto market have lost momentum after a strong start in 2023, but billionaire Warren Buffett continues to profit from bitcoin, and there are predictions of trillions of dollars entering the crypto market, leading to a massive price bull run.
Bitcoin is potentially in a bull market, with the recent surge to $31,000 likely being the disbelief rally of the first stage, according to crypto strategist Jason Pizzino, although he acknowledges the possibility of a deep corrective move before a full-blown bull market begins.
Bitcoin is potentially in a bull market, with the recent surge to $31,000 being the "disbelief rally," according to crypto strategist Jason Pizzino, who also warns of a possible deep corrective move before a full-blown bull market.
Bitcoin's current price, which is below $30,000, presents an opportunity for investors to add it to their portfolios due to potential near-term catalysts like the upcoming halving, the possibility of approved Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, and a more accommodative Federal Reserve policy that could boost the cryptocurrency's price in the long term.
Bitcoin (BTC) surpasses $28,400 amid positive sentiment and the signing of a crypto licensing bill in California, while remaining resilient to fake reports of BlackRock's spot bitcoin ETF approval and experiencing a 2.1% gain in the past 24 hours.
Bitcoin (BTC) is predicted to reach $128,000 or more by the end of 2025, according to multiple analytics models, with one analyst projecting a two-year target of around $130,000 and suggesting that the area around this price is becoming a magnet due to the long-term bullish outlook.
According to data analytics firm CryptoQuant, the approval of bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) could lead to bitcoin becoming a $900 billion asset and the total crypto market growing by $1 trillion, with the potential inflow from ETFs being larger than that of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) in the last bull market cycle. This scenario could push bitcoin's price to between $50,000 and $73,000, and historically, for every $1 of fresh money entering the bitcoin market, the market capitalization could increase by $3-$5.
Bitcoin's market cap could reach $900 billion if spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are approved next year, leading to an influx of institutional money into the market, according to a report by CryptoQuant. This could also raise the entire crypto market cap by $1 trillion.
Bitcoin is still stuck within its $25,000-$30,000 trading range, with a decisive catalyst needed to break out; while the BTC price remained relatively resilient in September, the crypto industry as a whole experienced a correction, with major mining companies down 30%.
Crypto analyst DonAlt has re-entered the market with a long position on Bitcoin, buying in at $27,000, while fellow analyst Credible Crypto is also bullish on Bitcoin, stating that the cryptocurrency has "launched" and could see significant gains if it stays above $28,600.