Investors Flee Long-Term Bonds, Seek Shelter in Shorter Treasuries Amid Recession Fears
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Bond investors are favoring shorter-dated Treasuries (1-5 years) as protection against this year's rout and potential recession.
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Longer-dated Treasuries have been hammered as the Fed is expected to keep rates higher for longer to combat inflation.
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Shorter maturities are more attractive as the economy may slow next year and the Fed nears the end of tightening.
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Forces like high inflation and heavy Treasury issuance have steepened the yield curve by lifting long-term yields.
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T-bills are starting to offer value with the Fed potentially nearing its peak rate; some investors are extending to 1-3 years.