Carmack Predicts AGI Could Emerge by 2030, Cites Hiring of RL Pioneer Sutton as Progress Toward Goal

Legendary developer John Carmack thinks AGI could emerge around 2030, cites hiring of reinforcement learning expert Richard Sutton as progress

Sutton believes current techniques could produce a basic AGI prototype within that timeframe

Carmack acknowledges Keen's small team and funding, but believes key problems can be solved without new breakthroughs

Carmack credits his work on games like Doom and Quake for sparking GPU demand that enabled the AI boom

Carmack sees human brain structure as more complex than typical AI models, wants Keen to take a different approach to developing AGI