Posted 4/9/2024, 1:06:39 PM
El-Erian: Diverging Paths For Fed and ECB Policy Ahead As Europe Slows, U.S. Sticks To Tight Inflation Target
- El-Erian expects the Fed to ease monetary policy less than the ECB in coming months due to slowing growth and disinflation in Europe
- This could lead the ECB to cut interest rates more often than the Fed, which was unimaginable until recently
- The divergence between Fed and ECB policy is impacting relative pricing between Europe and the US in bonds, currencies, etc.
- The ECB will likely signal a June rate cut at its policy meeting this week, while the Fed will not cut rates
- El-Erian argues the Fed's 2% inflation target is too tight given evolving macro conditions, so some sticky inflation should be tolerated