UBS: 10-Year Treasury Yields Could Fall to 3.5% by 2024, Boosting Bonds Over Stocks
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UBS strategists expect 10-year Treasury yields to fall to 3.5% by mid-2024 as growth slows and Fed tightening ends.
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This could deliver double-digit returns for bond investors after recent fixed income meltdown.
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UBS holds a neutral view on stocks, seeing limited 4% upside for S&P 500 through mid-2024.
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Longer-duration bonds have faced one of the worst crashes ever recently.
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UBS base case is yields fall further as growth slows, making bonds more attractive than stocks.