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Fed Chair Powell At Jackson Hole: Here's The Real Risk For The S&P 500

The Jackson Hole monetary policy conference, featuring a speech from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell, suggests that the era of low inflation may be over due to factors such as supply-chain failures, fiscal boosts, deglobalization, and onshoring. The potential for Powell to discuss inflationary risks and rate hikes could negatively impact the S&P 500.

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The world's top central bankers meeting at Jackson Hole are concerned about lingering inflation challenges and uncertain policy tightening, which could lead to increased financial market turbulence and potential economic recessions.
The upcoming Jackson Hole summit hosted by the Kansas City Fed is expected to focus on "Structural Shifts in the Global Economy," with Chair Powell likely to give some bullish relief in his comments, indicating that the rate hiking cycle is over and that cuts could come sooner than expected, resulting in a potential market rally.
Jeffrey Christian of CPM Group discusses the upcoming BRICS meeting and the themes of the KC Fed's Jackson Hole Conference, including concerns over the economy, interest rates, inflation, and foreign threat to US growth.
The market is focused on the Jackson Hole Symposium for any policy changes from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with investors eager to know if higher rates for longer are necessary. The market reaction will depend on Powell's message regarding rate hikes and cuts.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will likely provide updates on the central bank's stance on interest rates in the US during the Jackson Hole meeting, although an announcement regarding the end of interest rate hikes is less likely due to positive economic data and the potential risk of triggering another crisis.
The tone of the Jackson Hole economic symposium in 2023 is expected to focus on how long rates will stay high rather than how far they may rise, as the bond market prices in a higher for longer policy path from the Fed, potentially delivering a blow to the market's expectation of a more accommodative Fed.
Investors are expecting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to take a hawkish tone on interest rate policy in his upcoming speech, as the US economy continues to perform well and inflation remains elevated.
Investors are focusing on the state of the U.S. consumer and the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium, with retailers warning about consumer health and theft becoming increasingly problematic, while the stock market is benefitting from stabilizing interest rates; meanwhile, disappointing business activity in the EU is supporting the dollar and Treasury yields are declining.
The market reactions to Federal Reserve chiefs' speeches at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium are typically more muted than the significant drop experienced last year, according to Bespoke Investment Group's analysis, with the S&P 500 only falling 2.01% on average during the first two days of the symposium and recording an average gain of 0.3% during the event over the past 20 years.
Both gold and silver saw significant gains as treasury yields declined, driven by poor economic reports from Europe, and the rally in precious metals might be influenced by Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole economic symposium.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell aims to bring inflation back down to its 2 percent target while avoiding causing a recession, as he addresses the uncertain economic outlook at the annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Investors may be underestimating the potential market turbulence resulting from the Federal Reserve's economic symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, leaving them vulnerable to a hawkish surprise from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Wall Street is cautious ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech, with stock futures remaining flat.
Cryptocurrencies experienced a significant drop ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole Symposium speech, while the global crypto market capitalization decreased by 0.83% in the last day.
Two officials at the Federal Reserve have expressed differing views on whether or not the central bank should raise its benchmark interest rate again to combat inflation, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding future rate hikes, with more clarity expected from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech at a Fed conference in Jackson Hole.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium is expected to introduce volatility in both traditional markets and the crypto market, with the direction of the volatility depending on Powell's hawkish or dovish tone.+
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is expected to signal in his upcoming speech that the Fed plans to maintain its benchmark interest rate at a peak level for a longer period than anticipated, suggesting that any rate cuts are unlikely until well into next year, as the central bank aims to further slow borrowing and spending to reduce inflation.
Investors brace for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's keynote address at the annual central banking symposium in Jackson Hole, which is expected to provide a sobering assessment of the long-term interest rate trajectory and has led to the dollar soaring and the euro/dollar exchange rate plunging to its lowest level in over two months.
As Jerome Powell, the chair of the U.S Federal Reserve, prepares to speak at the Jackson Hole symposium, the big question is whether he will signal a major shift in how central banks deal with inflation, particularly regarding interest rates and inflation targets. Some economists are suggesting moving the inflation target range from 2-3 percent, while others argue for higher targets to give central banks more flexibility in combating recession. The debate highlights the challenges of setting and changing formal inflation targets and the ongoing changes in the factors that drive growth and inflation.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole could trigger a move higher in bond yields, leading investors to consider switching to value stocks, which are currently underperforming growth stocks, according to Vanguard.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell is expected to strike a different tone in his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium compared to last year, as the US economy shows signs of improvement, despite remaining challenges such as high inflation and rising costs for consumers.
The stock market rally attempt experienced a setback as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw a downside reversal, indicating that the correction is still ongoing, while retailers faced challenges and Treasury yields reached a 15-year high. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned of potential rate hikes due to high inflation.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that the fight against inflation still has a long way to go, emphasizing the need for extended periods of elevated interest rates to restore price stability. Powell stated that although inflation has cooled, the improvement may be temporary, and the Fed is committed to lowering inflation to their 2% target.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled at a conference of central bankers that more rate hikes could be on the way as the economy continues to run hot, despite a series of policy tightening measures, in an effort to combat persistent inflation.
Top central bankers, including Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, emphasized the importance of keeping interest rates high until inflation is under control while also grappling with economic challenges and uncertainties at the annual Federal Reserve gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that inflation and economic growth remain too high and interest rates may continue to rise and remain restrictive for longer, while U.S. stocks rebounded and European markets closed slightly higher. Meanwhile, U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai highlighted China's dominance in rare earth metals and the vulnerability of U.S. supply chains. Grocery delivery company Instacart filed paperwork for an IPO, and upcoming PCE and jobs data will provide insights into the Fed's rate decisions. Powell's ambiguous remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium led markets to focus on the prospect of a stronger economy rather than interest rate warnings.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent speech outlined three tests for incoming data to prevent further rate hikes, and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey revealed a decrease in job openings, leading to a rise in the S&P 500 and a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield.
Inflation has decreased significantly in recent months, but the role of the Federal Reserve in this decline is questionable as there is little evidence to suggest that higher interest rates led to lower prices and curtailed demand or employment. Other factors such as falling energy prices and the healing of disrupted supply chains appear to have had a larger impact on slowing inflation.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces the challenge of managing market expectations of interest rate hikes and addressing rising energy costs leading to inflation, while also leaving room for rate cuts if necessary.
The Federal Reserve's measure of inflation is disconnected from market conditions, increasing the likelihood of a recession, according to Duke University finance professor Campbell Harvey. If the central bank continues to raise interest rates based on this flawed inflation gauge, the severity of the economic downturn could worsen.