Posted 2/25/2024, 4:24:52 PM
Goldman Sachs: Shekel to Strengthen on Trade Surplus, Rate Cuts
- Goldman Sachs forecasts the shekel will strengthen from NIS 3.7/$ currently to NIS 3.55/$ over the next year
- The bank expects the Bank of Israel to cut interest rates from 4.5% to 4.25% at its next meeting
- Reasons given for potential shekel appreciation include Israel's trade surplus, US tech stock gains, and possible influx of foreign aid
- The shekel was stable despite Israel's weak Q4 2023 growth figures
- Inflation moderating towards the Bank of Israel's target could reduce currency intervention