Geopolitical Tensions, Market Signals Point to Heightened Economic Uncertainty
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Ongoing wars in Europe and the Middle East posing risk of energy supply disruptions and oil price spikes
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U.S. political dysfunction raising chances of a government shutdown and debt crisis
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S&P 500 breaking below 200-day moving average, a negative technical signal
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Rising interest rates putting pressure on bond and stock markets
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Tighter financial conditions and higher effective federal funds rate than stated policy rate