U.S. Growth Rebounds Despite Shocks; Europe Stalls on War Impacts; China and Global Economy Settle into New Normal
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The U.S. has shown remarkable resilience, getting back on track to pre-pandemic growth twice despite shocks. It may even overshoot old trends due to labor market strength.
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The eurozone avoided recession but has had momentum broken by the Ukraine war's impact. A full recovery to old trends looks unlikely.
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China's early pandemic recovery was enviable but it has since been pushed off track. Consumption-driven growth is challenging to manage.
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The blocs seem settled into new growth trajectories now 4 years after COVID-19 began. More disruptions will happen - agility and rapid execution are key.
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There's no permanent winner in the global growth competition, just constant judgment calls required amidst unpredictability and volatility.