Job Growth Cools While Recession Fears Persist Despite Tight Labor Market
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Hiring and job openings in corporate America have cooled from record highs in 2022 as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to fight inflation.
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Economists predict further cooling of the labor market in 2023 which could lead to a mild, short recession, though a soft landing is also possible.
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Consumer confidence and job gains ticked up at the end of 2022, but two-thirds still predict a likely recession in the next 12 months.
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The labor market remains very tight in many sectors with more job openings than available workers.
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Salary growth and consumer spending have stayed strong, meaning inflation could persist through 2024 if interest rates stay high.