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Hot U.S. economy pushes real rates to around 15-year highs after Powell speech

Traders interpret Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech as an indication that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates and that the US economy remains strong.

marketwatch.com
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Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech and eurozone sentiment data releases will be in focus next week, while policymakers in the UK will be looking for inflation clues in the PMI releases.
The market is focused on the Jackson Hole Symposium for any policy changes from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with investors eager to know if higher rates for longer are necessary. The market reaction will depend on Powell's message regarding rate hikes and cuts.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will likely provide updates on the central bank's stance on interest rates in the US during the Jackson Hole meeting, although an announcement regarding the end of interest rate hikes is less likely due to positive economic data and the potential risk of triggering another crisis.
Wall Street slightly increased ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech, with futures for the Dow and S&P 500 rising 0.2%; traders hope Powell will indicate that the Fed is done raising interest rates and may cut them next year.
Investors are expecting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to take a hawkish tone on interest rate policy in his upcoming speech, as the US economy continues to perform well and inflation remains elevated.
Two officials at the Federal Reserve have expressed differing views on whether or not the central bank should raise its benchmark interest rate again to combat inflation, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding future rate hikes, with more clarity expected from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech at a Fed conference in Jackson Hole.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is expected to signal in his upcoming speech that the Fed plans to maintain its benchmark interest rate at a peak level for a longer period than anticipated, suggesting that any rate cuts are unlikely until well into next year, as the central bank aims to further slow borrowing and spending to reduce inflation.
Investors brace for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's keynote address at the annual central banking symposium in Jackson Hole, which is expected to provide a sobering assessment of the long-term interest rate trajectory and has led to the dollar soaring and the euro/dollar exchange rate plunging to its lowest level in over two months.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole could trigger a move higher in bond yields, leading investors to consider switching to value stocks, which are currently underperforming growth stocks, according to Vanguard.
Stock futures rose slightly ahead of Fed Chair Jay Powell's speech, with investors eagerly awaiting his comments on interest rates and inflation.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell is expected to strike a different tone in his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium compared to last year, as the US economy shows signs of improvement, despite remaining challenges such as high inflation and rising costs for consumers.
Stocks gave up gains after Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the central bank is prepared to raise rates further, causing investors to adopt a dimmer interpretation of his remarks.
Stocks fluctuated as Jerome Powell signaled caution on declaring victory over inflation and stated that the Federal Reserve will proceed carefully on whether to raise interest rates again.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that the fight against inflation still has a long way to go, emphasizing the need for extended periods of elevated interest rates to restore price stability. Powell stated that although inflation has cooled, the improvement may be temporary, and the Fed is committed to lowering inflation to their 2% target.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the Fed's inflation target will remain at 2% and that they are prepared to raise rates further if necessary, despite concerns of an economy that has re-accelerated above expectations.
Stocks rebounded after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is prepared to raise interest rates further, providing a cautious but ultimately optimistic outlook on the economy.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled at a conference of central bankers that more rate hikes could be on the way as the economy continues to run hot, despite a series of policy tightening measures, in an effort to combat persistent inflation.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that inflation and economic growth remain too high and interest rates may continue to rise and remain restrictive for longer, while U.S. stocks rebounded and European markets closed slightly higher. Meanwhile, U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai highlighted China's dominance in rare earth metals and the vulnerability of U.S. supply chains. Grocery delivery company Instacart filed paperwork for an IPO, and upcoming PCE and jobs data will provide insights into the Fed's rate decisions. Powell's ambiguous remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium led markets to focus on the prospect of a stronger economy rather than interest rate warnings.
Markets are anticipating economic data following Powell's speech, leading to a rise in equities.
The Federal Reserve meeting in September may hold the key to the end of the tightening cycle, as markets anticipate a rate hike in November, aligning with the Fed's thinking on its peak rate. However, disagreement among Fed policymakers regarding the strength of the economy and inflation raises questions about the clarity and certainty of the Fed's guidance. Market skeptics remain uncertain about the possibility of a "soft landing," with sustained economic expansion following a period of tightening.
Investors are eagerly awaiting Jerome Powell's statement and Q&A session after the Federal Reserve's policy meeting as they seek clarity on the central bank's thinking and the timing of potential interest rate cuts.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates steady as it waits for more data to gauge the impact of previous rate hikes on the US economy, with factors such as inflation, the job market, and rising energy prices adding uncertainty.
The Federal Reserve's continued message of higher interest rates is expected to impact Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar, with the 10-year Treasury yield predicted to experience a slight increase and the U.S. dollar expected to edge higher.
The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting will focus on the central bank's expectations for key indicators such as interest rates, GDP, inflation, and unemployment, while many economists believe that the Fed may signal a pause in its rate-hiking cycle but maintain the possibility of future rate increases.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces the challenge of managing market expectations of interest rate hikes and addressing rising energy costs leading to inflation, while also leaving room for rate cuts if necessary.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged, but the revision of the dot plot and comments from Chairman Jerome Powell could impact the valuation of the US Dollar.
The dollar strengthens and stocks decline as the Federal Reserve delivers a "hawkish pause" during the Fed meeting, with updates on the interest-rate decision, dot plot, and Jerome Powell press conference.
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged while revising its forecasts for economic growth, unemployment, and inflation, indicating a "higher for longer" stance on interest rates and potentially only one more rate hike this year. The Fed aims to achieve a soft landing for the economy and believes it can withstand higher rates, but external complications such as rising oil prices and an auto strike could influence future decisions.