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SoftBank Takes Conservative Approach with Arm IPO, Leaves $1B on Table to Ensure Strong Debut

  • SoftBank took a conservative approach in pricing Arm's IPO, leaving $1B in potential value on the table to ensure a big stock pop.

  • SoftBank bought the Vision Fund's 25% stake in Arm to show long-term commitment and avoid weighing on share price.

  • The IPO valuation was lower than Nvidia's proposed $40B buyout which was blocked by regulators.

  • Arm's technology is widely used in smartphones and data centers, delivering lucrative royalties.

  • Investors are concerned about Arm's exposure to China amid geopolitical tensions with the U.S.

reuters.com
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### Summary As chip designer Arm prepares for its Nasdaq IPO, investors are questioning whether it will experience exponential growth in the AI sector, as SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son claims. ### Facts - Arm is positioned as SoftBank's crown jewel asset and has been touted as a key player in the AI industry. - SoftBank CEO, Masayoshi Son, believes that Arm can generate synergies with other AI-related companies and has created inventions with AI-powered ChatGPT. - Investors are hoping the filing will reveal SoftBank's AI strategy and whether Arm is valued at $64 billion, as implied by Son's claims. - However, analysts suggest that Arm is more AI-adjacent than at the center of the AI boom, as its expertise lies in energy-efficient CPUs. - Nvidia, a graphics chips specialist, has emerged as a significant player in the AI industry, with its advanced semiconductors powering data centers for large language models like ChatGPT. - Arm can potentially benefit from Nvidia's coattails, as Nvidia's chips require coupling with Arm CPUs, although there are other alternatives. - Arm customers, such as Qualcomm and Apple, have designed AI-focused chips, while cloud computing companies like Amazon and Google have built non-Arm AI chips. - Analysts believe that Arm's opportunity lies in providing intellectual property for AI and machine learning in end-user devices like phones and home appliances. - The potential for AI synergies within SoftBank's portfolio is questioned, as not all companies can be considered AI-related. - Some SoftBank portfolio companies may apply generative AI but that does not make them AI companies.
### Summary Investors are waiting for Arm's Nasdaq IPO filing to determine if the chip designer will experience "exponential growth" due to the AI boom, as CEO Masayoshi Son claims. ### Facts - šŸ“ˆ SoftBank, the owner of Arm, has positioned the chip designer as a key asset for the conglomerate's AI-related companies. - šŸ’° SoftBank valued Arm at $64 billion, but analysts value it around $47 billion. - šŸ’» Arm does not sit at the center of the AI boom but is more AI-adjacent. - šŸ’” Arm specializes in energy-efficient central processing units (CPUs) that can complement Nvidia's advanced semiconductors. - šŸŒ Arm's opportunity lies in providing intellectual property for AI and machine learning in devices used by end users. - ā“ Analysts question whether 85% of SoftBank's portfolio companies can truly be described as AI-related.
SoftBank-owned Arm has filed for its initial public offering (IPO), which will be a major test for the IPO market that has been stagnant due to rising interest rates, and is a significant move for SoftBank as it pivots its focus to artificial intelligence. Arm's chip designs are found in almost all smartphones globally, and the company's listing has implications for SoftBank's rebound strategy.
Chip designer Arm signed up 28 banks for its upcoming IPO without disclosing a fee arrangement, demonstrating owner SoftBank's leverage over underwriters eager to participate.
Arm, the British chip designer, has published a prospectus for its IPO on the Nasdaq exchange next month, with an expected valuation of $60bn to $70bn, attracting interest from tech giants such as Amazon, Apple, and Nvidia.
Arm Holdings Ltd, owned by SoftBank Group Corp, is planning to launch its roadshow for investors after Labor Day and set a price range for its much-anticipated IPO in September, with SoftBank selling about 10% of Arm's shares at a valuation of $60 billion to $70 billion.
Chip designer Arm Holdings is planning to ask investors to pay between $47 and $51 per share for its initial public offering (IPO), valuing the company at roughly $50 billion to $54 billion and potentially making it the most valuable company to list in New York since Rivian Automotive.
SoftBank's desired valuation for Arm's IPO may be too high, as investors are focused on medium-term operating profit rather than just revenue, and Arm would need to achieve implausible levels of growth and profitability to justify the target valuation.
SoftBank Group's chip designer Arm is seeking a valuation of more than $52 billion in its initial public offering, targeting the largest U.S. stock market flotation of the year.
Arm, the chip design firm, has attracted interest from major technology companies such as Apple, Google, and Nvidia, as well as chip foundry operators Intel, Samsung, and TSMC, in its bid to go public on Nasdaq with a potential market capitalization of $52 billion and $5 billion in new cash.
Arm Holdings, owned by Softbank, has received investor demand that is six times the amount it is seeking in its $5 billion stock market debut, making it more likely to reach its targeted price range of $47 to $51 per share.
Arm Holdings has priced its initial public offering at $51 per share, at the top end of the expected range, giving the chip design company a valuation of $54.5 billion.
SoftBank CFO Yoshimitsu Goto declared that Arm, the U.K. chip designer, is SoftBank's most crucial subsidiary and vital to its artificial intelligence strategy.
SoftBank's initial public offering of Arm Holdings was a success, with the shares gaining 25% on their debut, although the company left potential profits on the table by pricing the IPO lower than it could have been.
SoftBank is reportedly seeking AI deals, including a potential investment in OpenAI, after the successful IPO of its Arm unit, with the company's founder and CEO, Masayoshi Son, planning to invest billions of dollars in AI technology.
Arm Holdings' stock had a strong IPO, but recent sell-offs and high valuations have raised concerns about its future performance, leading to a "Sell" rating and a price target of $46 per share from Bernstein analyst Sara Russo. While Arm is a frontrunner in the semiconductor industry and has value in its architecture, investors should temper their expectations, as its exposure to AI is limited compared to companies like Nvidia. Analyst ratings on ARM stock range from "Buy" to "Sell," with an average price target of $51.67, implying a potential downside of 2.3%.
SoftBank's Masayoshi Son is in talks with former Apple designer Jony Ive and OpenAI's Sam Altman to launch a $1 billion venture aimed at creating an AI device with a more natural and intuitive user experience, similar to the impact the iPhone had on touchscreen computing.
SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son predicts that artificial general intelligence (AGI) will become a reality within ten years and will be ten times more intelligent than all human intelligence, urging nations and individuals to embrace AI or risk being left behind, likening the intelligence gap to that between monkeys and humans, while also emphasizing the need for AI to be used in the "right way." Arm CEO Rene Haas reaffirms the growing revenue and importance of AI-enabled chip designs, but highlights the challenge of power consumption and the need for more efficient chips in the face of sustainability concerns.