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China Boosts Russia's Economy and Military Despite Pledges of Neutrality

  • Chinese firms are playing a critical role in boosting Russia's economy and military capabilities, including through trade of goods for use in Ukraine.

  • China has exported drones, helmets, vests, radios, and other dual-use items to Russia since the war began, despite pledges of neutrality.

  • Trade data shows a surge in semiconductors, construction equipment, trucks, and materials like Aramid fiber from China to Russia.

  • Analysts say China is allowing firms to sell goods to Russia that they can't sell elsewhere, while avoiding direct sanctions violations.

  • Continued China-Russia trade could damage Beijing's relations with the West, but halting it risks retaliation from an important strategic ally.

cnbc.com
Relevant topic timeline:
Main Topic: China's support for Russia's war effort in Ukraine and evasion of Western sanctions. Key Points: 1. China has expanded its purchase of Russian oil, gas, and other energy exports since Russia invaded Ukraine. 2. China is providing economic support mechanisms for Russia to mitigate the impact of Western sanctions. 3. Chinese state-owned defense companies have supplied key technology, including navigation equipment and parts for fighter jets, to Russian defense firms.
Main Topic: China's involvement in the Ukraine peace talks Key Points: 1. China's attendance at the peace talks in Saudi Arabia shows its support for diplomatic efforts to end the war in Ukraine. 2. Some are skeptical of China's ability and motives to mediate the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. 3. China's participation in the talks is seen as a way to strengthen its influence among non-Western countries and engage with the Global South.
Main Topic: Western microchips fueling Russia's military arsenal through convoluted trade routes. Key Points: 1. Russia has been sourcing an increased number of semiconductors and advanced Western technologies through intermediary countries like China. 2. Many of these components are subject to export controls, but convoluted trade routes allow them to still enter Russia. 3. China is the largest exporter of microchips and technology to Russia, taking advantage of Russia's economic isolation.
China and Russia's flourishing trade is leading to the supply of trench-digging machines to Ukraine's front lines.
US oil and gas multinational, Halliburton, is facing scrutiny over its trade with Russia after customs records reveal that over $7.1 million worth of equipment has been imported into the country since the company announced the end of its Russian operations.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky emphasizes that US financial support to Ukraine is not only about aiding the country in its fight against Russia, but also about preventing Vladimir Putin's further global aggression.
Despite facing Western sanctions, Russia has managed to sustain its economy through increased military spending, but questions remain about the long-term viability of this militarization.
The Ukraine war has led to a decrease in global trade between geopolitical blocs, as sanctions and blockades hinder trade flows and countries seek to diversify their sourcing.
The Biden administration has imposed new trade restrictions on Chinese and Russian companies for supplying drone components used in Russia's war effort in Ukraine.
Russia's economy is being increasingly structured around war, with nearly one-third of the country's spending next year devoted to defense, redirecting funds from sectors like health care and education; however, the economic impacts of the war, including inflation and a weakened ruble, are causing concerns for citizens and the government alike.
Russia's economic partnership with China is causing harm to its own economy, leading to a need for the US to counterbalance its relations with China, according to the Council on Foreign Relations.
Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to Beijing this week is expected to highlight the strength of the Russia-China partnership and their shared geopolitical ambitions, particularly in challenging the Western-dominated global order and expanding China's influence abroad through infrastructure projects, amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas, which both Russia and China have refrained from directly condemning and instead called for an end to violence and talks about a Palestinian state.