US home prices are rising again after five months of declines, reaching a record high for the month of July, due to low inventory and homeowners refusing to sell amidst high mortgage rates.
The current housing market is facing challenges due to rising interest rates and higher prices, leading to a slowdown in home sales, but the market is more resilient and better equipped to handle these fluctuations compared to the Global Financial Crisis, thanks to cautious lending practices and stricter regulations.
The U.S. housing market is facing dire consequences due to high mortgage rates, a housing supply shortage, and a lack of confidence in the Federal Reserve's actions, according to market expert James Iuorio.
New home sales in the US increased by 4.4% in July, outperforming expectations and highlighting the continued demand for new construction due to a shortage of existing affordable homes. Despite rising mortgage rates, buyers are turning to new homes, causing a decline in sales in the resale market. However, as mortgage rates continue to rise, builder sentiment may be negatively impacted and prices may need to be adjusted to attract buyers.
The surge in mortgage rates has caused housing affordability to reach the lowest level since 2000, leading to a slow fall in the housing market and a potential dip in home prices, although the current market differs from the conditions that preceded the 2008 crash, with low housing inventory and a lack of risky mortgage products, making mortgage rates the key lever to improve affordability.
Mortgage rates topping 7% have led to a significant drop in mortgage applications for home purchases, with last week seeing the smallest volume in 28 years. The increase in rates, driven by concerns of high inflation, has priced out many potential buyers and contributed to low housing supply and high home prices. As a result, sales of previously owned homes have declined, and homeowners are reluctant to sell their properties due to the higher rates. Some buyers are turning to adjustable-rate mortgages to manage the increased costs.
Sales of existing homes have declined due to the rise in mortgage rates, but the demand for new homes is increasing as buyers are hesitant to sell their current homes with low-interest mortgages.
The single-family serious delinquency rate in the US housing market is at its lowest level since 2002, indicating that widespread home price declines are not expected.
Home prices in the U.S. rose for the fifth consecutive month in June, despite high mortgage rates, with national prices increasing by 0.9% and only down 0.02% from their peak in June 2022, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index. However, there were significant regional differences, with cities on the West Coast experiencing some of the biggest declines. The housing market continues to face challenges due to low inventory and slow new construction.
Home prices in the US have continued to rise for the fifth consecutive month, reaching near all-time highs, although high mortgage rates could impact further price gains for the rest of the year. Cities in the Midwest and New England saw the most notable price acceleration, while cities in the West experienced year-over-year price drops. Low inventory remains a challenge, with few homeowners wanting to sell, leading to higher prices and increased competition for available homes. In contrast, the rental market is offering more affordability as rental inventory increases.
Stocks are expected to decline as mortgage rates soar, causing many Americans to be unable to move and resulting in a bubble in home prices, according to economist David Rosenberg.
US housing inventory continues to be tight, with a 9.2% decrease in the number of homes for sale compared to last year, marking the fourth consecutive month of annual declines, although total inventory has shown monthly increases and is up 19% since January.
British house prices in August 2023 experienced their biggest annual decline since July 2009, falling by 5.3% due to higher interest rates reducing buyer demand, according to mortgage lender Nationwide.
The recent downturn in global property prices is ending as average home prices are expected to fall less than anticipated and rise into 2024, according to a Reuters poll, due to factors such as high savings, limited supply, and rising immigration. However, this poses challenges for first-time homebuyers and rental affordability is expected to worsen.
The number of homes for sale in the US continued to decline in August, down by 9.2% compared to the previous year and 45% below pre-pandemic levels, leading to higher home prices and affordability concerns.
Low inventory, high mortgage rates, and high prices have created a difficult housing market, making it challenging for house hunters to break into the market and leading to a substantial decline in purchases by real estate investors.
Rapidly falling house prices have caused a "cost of owning crisis," with tens of thousands of homeowners falling into negative equity over the past year, making it difficult to sell or remortgage properties. Experts predict that more households will face difficulties as house prices continue to decline, with the Government's tax and spending watchdog expecting a 10% fall in prices. However, there are expectations of a rebound in house prices in the future, particularly for those intending to live in their homes for several years.
Homebuilders are thriving due to a chronic shortage of existing housing inventory, leading to increased home prices and strong sales, according to KB Home CEO Jeffrey Mezger. The lack of inventory is also reflected in the significant drop in active home listings, with only Austin returning to pre-pandemic levels, while other markets have experienced substantial declines. Despite rising mortgage rates, the scarcity of existing inventory has prevented a steep national home price decline.
Demand for mortgages in the US has hit a 28-year low, with purchase applications falling to the lowest level since December 1996, despite a decrease in mortgage rates.
Mortgage rates have risen significantly, but while higher-end homes have experienced price declines, lower-end homes have remained relatively unaffected, leading to a divergence in the housing market.
US mortgage rates have decreased slightly for the second consecutive week, but they remain above 7%, causing home affordability to reach its lowest level in nearly four decades.
The current housing market has defied expectations of a downturn in real estate prices caused by surging mortgage rates, with prices and demand remaining strong due to increasing household formation among baby boomers, according to a Wall Street economist.
The housing market activity remains subdued due to fluctuating mortgage rates and low housing supply, leading to decreased demand and affordability challenges for potential homebuyers.
The D.C.-area housing market is experiencing high interest rates, historically low inventory levels, and multiple offers, leading to a "dysfunctional" market for buyers and sellers.
Stocks declined amid speculation that US inflation data will show persistent price pressures, increasing the likelihood that interest rates will remain elevated; market focus is on the US consumer price report.
The DC housing market faces challenges due to high interest rates and low supply, resulting in a dysfunctional market and fewer listings, making it difficult for buyers to find relief.
Mortgage payments in the US have reached a record high due to high mortgage rates and increasing home prices, causing pending home sales to decline by 12% year over year and pushing some buyers to the sidelines; however, sellers can still expect fair prices due to low inventory.
Record-high mortgage payments and low home inventory are making the housing market historically unaffordable for Americans, with homebuyer demand and listings both experiencing significant declines.
Builder confidence in the US housing market unexpectedly dropped for the second consecutive month in September, as high mortgage rates dampened consumer demand for new homes.
US homebuilders are losing confidence in the housing market as mortgage rates remain high, causing a decline in buyer purchasing power and a negative outlook for the industry.
The Greater Boston housing market experienced a slow month in August, with home sales dropping to their lowest point for the month since 2010, primarily due to higher interest rates and a shortage of available homes for sale, leading to increased competition and higher prices for buyers.
U.S. homebuilder confidence fell to its lowest level since April in September due to high interest rates, leading to decreased affordability for buyers and a decline in demand for new home construction.
US home building declined in August, with housing starts dropping to the lowest level since June 2020 due to elevated mortgage rates and limited inventory, despite an increase in building permits.
US housing starts fell to their lowest level in three years, indicating a slowdown in homebuilding activity due to mortgage rates lingering above 7%.
The D.C.-area housing market is facing challenges as rising interest rates discourage buyers and sellers, leading to tight inventory, high prices, and limited relief in sight.
The Federal Reserve's decision not to raise interest rates has provided little relief for Americans struggling with the high costs of borrowing, particularly in the housing market where mortgage rates have reached their highest level in over two decades, leading to challenges for potential and current homeowners.
The United States housing market has seen a 21 percent decline in previously occupied home sales over the past year, continuing the slowdown caused by rising interest rates, while prices continue to rise despite the decrease in sales, leading to a shortage of affordable homes and worsening home affordability for the foreseeable future.
German housing prices experienced the largest decline since records began in the second quarter of 2023, due to high interest rates and rising materials costs, creating a crisis in the construction industry.
