BlackRock's Fink Sees Modest Recession By 2025, More Fear Than Hope Currently
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Larry Fink, BlackRock CEO, says there is more fear than hope in the world right now, especially related to China's COVID outbreak and consumer savings rates.
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Fink doesn't see a U.S. recession happening soon, maybe by 2025, and says any recessions will be modest.
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He believes the 10-year Treasury yield will rise to at least 5% or higher due to embedded and structural inflation.
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Fink points to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and dependencies on China as sources of deeper structural inflation.
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The S&P 500 is up 12% this year but down 5% in September amid the uncertain economic outlook.