Bitcoin Prices Tend to Spike and Crash After Reward Halvings
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Bitcoin's price tends to spike after the periodic "halving" event where mining rewards are cut in half, but then crashes over 80% on average in the year after.
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Potential reasons for the post-halving crashes include investors taking profits, miners selling reserves to stay competitive, and the "January Effect" of stocks rising while Bitcoin falls.
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Despite major corrections, Bitcoin has historically recovered from drawdowns after each halving over a 4-year timeline.
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September is typically a bearish month for Bitcoin prices, similar to stocks, due to investors locking in gains ahead of the year's end.
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While a post-2024 halving correction seems likely based on past patterns, circumstances differ now with increased Wall Street and country investments.