Posted 3/30/2024, 3:49:13 AM
India's Rupee Has Constructive Outlook Despite Global Risks, Says BofA
- India's rupee should appreciate long-term vs the USD as India builds strong export buffers in services and goods to offset trade deficits, says BofA's Patrick Law
- India benefits from the "China plus one" narrative and expanding service industry with more global capability centers
- While high oil prices and a weaker Chinese yuan pose EM currency risks, the rupee is a "very special case" given India's bullish outlook
- The Fed may cut rates less than expected given persistent inflation, limiting USD downside and EM inflows
- The rupee outlook is more constructive than North Asian currencies facing competition from cheap Japanese exports