India aims to become a $35 trillion economy in 25 years, with a plan to add $30 trillion to its economy in the coming years, according to Union Minister Piyush Goyal.
India's economy is experiencing consistent growth, and is predicted to become the fourth-largest economy within 18 months and the third-largest by 2028, driven by strong fundamentals and infrastructure development, while successfully reducing poverty; however, further reforms in areas such as patents, judicial, administrative, and process reforms are needed to boost economic growth.
India's economy is facing challenges as GDP growth declines, investment demand weakens, inflation rises, and job creation remains a major concern, highlighting the need for a comprehensive economic plan to address these issues.
India's recent achievements and economic growth have positioned it as a rising global power, but the country must address its challenges in poverty, job creation, education, and inequality in order to fully realize its potential.
The economist Tharman Shanmugaratnam highlights India's challenges in achieving sustained economic growth, addressing social and economic disparities, and integrating with China and ASEAN. He emphasizes the need for India to focus on education, increase exports, reform employment and land acquisition laws, and take advantage of its untapped potential.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi discussed India's achievements during its presidency of the G20, highlighting its human-centric model of development and its response to the pandemic, which has gained recognition and appreciation from the international community; he also emphasized the importance of including the Global South and Africa in global affairs and addressing their needs. Additionally, Modi noted India's efforts in promoting renewable energy and the democratization of technology, while acknowledging the challenges of cybercrime and the need for global cooperation. He expressed confidence in India's future economic growth and its potential to become one of the top three economies in the world by 2030 and a developed country by 2047.
India's GDP growth reached a four-quarter high of 7.8% in Q1FY24, with private consumption and services picking up pace, but challenges lie ahead with the sustainability of services growth and concerns over the monsoon and agriculture sector.
India's economic rise is seen as inevitable due to factors such as a consumer boom, context-appropriate innovation, a green transition, a demographic dividend, access to finance, major infrastructure upgrades, policy reforms, geopolitical positioning, and a diaspora dividend, although challenges such as unbalanced growth, unrealized demographic potential, and unrealized ease-of-business and innovation potential still need to be addressed.
India's consumer market is projected to become the world's third largest by 2027, driven by rising middle to high-income households and increased consumer spending on electronics.
China's economy has entered deflation territory and the debt crisis has worsened, while India's economy is thriving with GDP growth expected to exceed 7% and unemployment rates at a 12-year low; it is predicted that India will surpass China in per capita income by 2044 due to factors such as female education expansion, labor force growth, and higher total factor productivity growth.
With the right reforms, India has the potential to become the next engine of global growth, benefiting from major economic re-alignments caused by China's slowdown and the US diversifying its supply chains. Major corporations are already investing in India, recognizing its potential. However, India needs to overcome challenges such as high tariffs, infrastructure improvements, and regional cooperation to fully realize its manufacturing potential and attract foreign investment.
