President Biden's new spending initiatives, including the "Inflation Reduction Act," are likely contributing to an increase in inflation, counteracting his claims that inflation is under control and negatively impacting the financial situation of average Americans.
The U.S. is currently experiencing a prolonged high inflation cycle that is causing significant damage to the purchasing power of the currency, and the recent lower inflation rate is misleading as it ignores the accumulated harm; in order to combat this cycle, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates higher than the inflation rate and reverse its bond purchases.
The U.S. federal deficit is projected to double this year to around $2 trillion, largely due to higher interest rates, lower tax revenue, and increased Social Security and Medicare costs.
Despite President Biden's claims of cutting the federal budget deficit by $1.7 trillion, in reality, the deficit is projected to hit $2 trillion this year, with government spending remaining high and the reduction in the deficit primarily due to the expiration of COVID-19 emergency spending.
The U.S. debt is expected to reach $2 trillion this year, doubling from the previous year, due to a decline in global economic growth.
Approximately $7.6 trillion of outstanding U.S. government debt is set to mature within the next year, raising concerns about how the Treasury will finance its borrowing needs going forward, although the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee believes that Treasury can continue to issue Treasury bills given the current levels of demand, according to a letter released last month; the committee also recommended that Treasury take steps to normalize the level of T-bill issuance over time.
Investors are growing increasingly concerned about the ballooning U.S. federal deficit and its potential impact on the bond market's ability to finance the shortfall at current interest rates, according to Yardeni Research.
The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is projected to cut economy-wide carbon emissions by up to 43 percent below 2005 levels by 2030, with significant reductions in the electric power and building sectors, according to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) report.
The U.S. Federal Reserve has revealed accumulated losses of $100 billion in 2023, a situation that is expected to worsen for the Fed, but it may be a blessing in disguise for risk assets like Bitcoin. The losses are a result of interest payments on the Fed's debt surpassing its earnings, leading to concerns about the impact on interest rates and the demand for scarce assets like BTC.
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen believes that despite the national debt nearing $33 trillion, the federal government's debt burden remains under control due to the net interest as a share of GDP remaining at a reasonable level. However, critics warn of the potential risks of a growing debt and credit bubble. Additionally, Yellen hopes for a quick resolution to the United Auto Workers' strike, stating that the economy remains strong overall.