1980s Housing Market Conditions Return as Rates Rise and Prices Wobble
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Current housing market has similarities to 1980s with high inflation, rising rates, and millennial homebuyers. This could lead to a frozen, unaffordable market like the 1980s housing recession.
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Aggressive Fed rate hikes to tame inflation have caused mortgage rates to surge, reducing housing affordability and sales - reminiscent of Volcker's 1980s Fed.
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Millennials are hitting prime homebuying age, which should support housing demand like the baby boomers did in the 1980s.
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Indicators show the housing market is currently in a recession, though prices may stagnate rather than collapse like 2008.
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If high mortgage rates persist, home prices could fall 5% by end of 2024 in a bearish scenario according to Morgan Stanley.