Housing Market Echoes 1980s as High Rates, Inflation Could Spark New Recession
-
The current housing market resembles the 1980s market due to high inflation, rising interest rates, and a wave of millennial homebuyers. This could lead to a "housing recession" like in the 1980s.
-
Aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to fight inflation have caused mortgage rates to surge, reducing housing affordability.
-
Home sales have dropped significantly, though prices have remained high due to demand from millennials reaching prime homebuying age.
-
Demographics helped support the 1980s housing market despite high rates, similar to how millennial buyers support today's market.
-
If high mortgage rates persist, home prices could stagnate or fall 5% by end of 2024, per Morgan Stanley, sparking a frozen housing market.