Yardeni Warns 'Bond Vigilantes' Are Back, But Yellen Disagrees
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Veteran investment strategist Ed Yardeni believes "bond vigilantes" are selling Treasuries to protest inflation and rising deficits, pushing yields higher.
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Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen disagrees, arguing today's environment is different than the 1990s when the term "bond vigilantes" emerged.
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Yardeni thinks bond investors want compensation for rising inflation and deficit risks, which the Fed exacerbated by reducing its Treasury holdings.
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Yellen believes the rise in yields reflects economic resilience and expectations that rates will remain higher, not bond vigilante activity.
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The debate matters because if vigilantes push yields too high, it could slow growth like rate hikes, potentially spurring a recession.