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Japan household spending suffers biggest drop in 2-1/2 years; outlook not as gloomy

Japanese household spending experienced its largest decline in almost 2-1/2 years due to rising prices; however, the impact of volatility in certain areas suggests that the outlook may not be as dire as the headline figures indicate.

yahoo.com
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The income gap in Japan remains near a record high, with the pandemic having a significant impact on temporary workers, according to a government survey conducted in 2021.
Consumer inflation in Tokyo grew at a slower pace than expected in August, but the core figure, which excludes fresh food and energy costs, remained at its highest level in over 40 years, indicating that inflationary conditions in Japan remain high and putting pressure on the Bank of Japan to eventually tighten policy.
The USD/JPY spiked to a cycle high but reversed course, while weak labor market figures were reported in both the US and Japan, supporting the dovish stance of the Bank of Japan.
China's economic troubles, including a real estate crisis, an aging population, and rising debt, resemble Japan's long-standing issues, leading some experts to predict a potential "lost decade" for China similar to Japan's economic stagnation in the 1990s, while Japan is showing signs of climbing out of its deflationary nightmare.
Japan's factory output fell more than expected in July, indicating a challenging start to the second half of the year for manufacturers amid concerns about China's growth and the global economy. Output declined 2.0% in July from the previous month, driven by decreased domestic and overseas orders, particularly in the electronic parts and production machinery sectors. However, car production rose 0.6% due to improved supply chain conditions.
Investors are concerned about the possibility of intervention in Tokyo after the yen reached its weakest level against the dollar in 10 months, while Asian markets fell due to worries of another US Federal Reserve interest rate hike and a jump in oil prices.
Japan's economy grew less than expected in Q2 and wages fell in July, raising doubts about the country's recovery and the effectiveness of the central bank's projections for domestic demand.
The Bank of Japan's potential shift away from negative interest rate policy has ignited the Japanese Government Bond and currency markets, with the yen seeing its biggest rise in two months and the 10-year JGB yield reaching its highest point in almost a decade.
US household income fell by the most in over a decade in 2022, showing the impact of rising costs and the expiration of pandemic relief programs, with the median income dropping 2.3% and marking the third consecutive annual decline, contributing to concerns about the financial well-being of American families.
Asia-Pacific markets fell as the Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged and noted a "moderate recovery" in the economy, while Japan's private sector activity expanded at its slowest pace since February and the country's August inflation rate remained above the BOJ's target for the 17th straight month.