China Faces Uphill Battle to Emulate Japan's Escape from Economic Crisis
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Japan recently emerged from decades of economic malaise, offering a blueprint for China to escape its current property market crisis. However, China faces more adversarial global circumstances.
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It took years for Japan's stimulus efforts and corporate reforms to gain traction before growth resumed. China's leadership may lack the patience for prolonged stimulus.
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A weaker yen boosted Japan's exports. But the world would likely resist a weaker yuan and Chinese export surge.
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Japan cultivated economic alliances, especially with the US, that bought its goods. China's relations with major economies are increasingly antagonistic.
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Ultimately, without the right friends to buy its technology, China may struggle to export its way out of crisis as Japan did.