Posted 12/29/2023, 6:48:00 PM
Summers Warns Markets Too Optimistic on Inflation Outlook and Rate Cuts
- Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers believes investors are underestimating the risk that inflation progress will stall and Fed interest rate cuts will be limited
- Markets have rallied recently on hopes inflation is cooling and the Fed will cut rates, but Summers feels it's premature to declare victory
- Labor unrest, tight labor markets, and geopolitical conflicts remain inflationary pressures according to Summers
- Summers doesn't think the U.S. has achieved a "soft landing" yet in taming inflation without mass layoffs or recession
- At least two Fed presidents have also warned that 2024 rate cut predictions are premature