New dating site Manifold.love lets users bet on love through prediction markets
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Manifold is a website where people can bet play money on predictions for real-world events like elections or relationships. It was co-founded by Austin Chen and brothers Stephen and James Grugett.
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Chen met his wife Rachel Weinberg through Manifold when he set up a market on whether he would get a girlfriend in 2022.
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Manifold recently launched Manifold.love, a dating site where users can pay $100 to set up a market betting on who they might date. The site caters to rationalists, effective altruists and other online communities.
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Some Manifold.love users like Nathan Young take the betting predictions seriously and use them to decide who to message. Others like Emmy Agrippa see it more as a novelty.
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The founders aim for Manifold.love to someday be a mainstream dating app, but trader estimates of its near-term growth are modest, around a 14% chance of 1,000 daily active users by Valentine's Day 2024.