Summary: Many pundits believe that rising interest rates are causing the decline in the market, but the author argues that this belief is false and that the market has ignored high rates in the past while still rallying. The author suggests that the recent decline could be attributed to public fear of UFOs and aliens or to the media's need to find any reason to blame for the decline, even if it lacks internal consistency. The author emphasizes the importance of not letting personal biases and opinions influence investment decisions, and instead relying on objective analysis, such as the Fibonacci Pinball method of applying Elliott Wave analysis. The market's next move will determine the direction for the rest of 2023, and investors should approach the market with an open mind.
The surge in U.S. yields has dominated market focus leading up to the Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, while Nvidia's earnings release is expected to bring high volatility to the chip designer's shares.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will likely provide updates on the central bank's stance on interest rates in the US during the Jackson Hole meeting, although an announcement regarding the end of interest rate hikes is less likely due to positive economic data and the potential risk of triggering another crisis.
Investors are focusing on the state of the U.S. consumer and the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium, with retailers warning about consumer health and theft becoming increasingly problematic, while the stock market is benefitting from stabilizing interest rates; meanwhile, disappointing business activity in the EU is supporting the dollar and Treasury yields are declining.
Nvidia's upcoming earnings report could impact AI-related crypto tokens, such as FET, GRT, INJ, RNDR, and AGIX, as well as crypto mining stocks like APLD, IREN, HUT, and HIVE.
Artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrencies surged as Nvidia reported strong second-quarter earnings, exceeding estimates and reinforcing the bullish trend in AI technology.
Nvidia's strong earnings and optimistic forecast for the future have boosted AI-related stocks and global markets, but concerns about U.S. consumer spending and potential market correction persist ahead of the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium.
Wall Street's major averages rebounded with growth in communication services and technology sectors, while Treasury yields sank as a recent bond sell-off eased; traders are now waiting for Nvidia's quarterly results to gauge the AI market, and investors are hopeful for potential interest rate policy clues from the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium.
Despite Nvidia's strong earnings, stocks closed lower due to mixed economic signals and the decline of big tech stocks such as Tesla and Amazon.com. Investors are awaiting Jerome Powell's speech for insight into interest rates, while the 10-year Treasury yield climbed and Dollar Tree's stock fell.
Investors may be underestimating the potential market turbulence resulting from the Federal Reserve's economic symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, leaving them vulnerable to a hawkish surprise from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Jim Cramer anticipates that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole may signal further interest rate hikes, potentially causing stocks to decline, but advises investors to keep strong companies like Apple and Nvidia and seek opportunities for discounted stocks.
Investors brace for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's keynote address at the annual central banking symposium in Jackson Hole, which is expected to provide a sobering assessment of the long-term interest rate trajectory and has led to the dollar soaring and the euro/dollar exchange rate plunging to its lowest level in over two months.
Nvidia's blowout earnings were expected to boost the stock and index futures, but the Federal Reserve's decision to move interest rates will have a greater impact on the market.
Exchange-traded funds tied to artificial intelligence have performed well in the first half of 2023, but higher interest rates are causing investors to rethink their positions and consider the potential benefits of industrials in the AI space.
Nvidia's strong earnings and a uneventful Jackson Hole conference should have been enough to prevent a stock market correction, but the fact that it didn't suggests there may be more downside ahead.
Spending on AI could boost GDP and productivity, while also potentially raising interest rates in the coming years.
U.S. economic growth, outpacing other countries, may pose global risks if the Federal Reserve is forced to raise interest rates higher than expected, potentially leading to financial tightening and ripple effects in emerging markets.
The rush of capital into Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) is heavily dependent on Nvidia, as its better-than-expected second quarter results and forecast raise investor expectations and drive capital flows into the Generative AI ecosystem.
US equity markets were relatively stagnant last week, with major indexes trading up and down around their 200-day moving averages, indicating a lack of direction and potential resistance, while Treasury markets appeared to stabilize despite an inverted yield curve, suggesting a potential recession on the horizon. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish speech on Friday emphasized the need for caution and the possibility of higher interest rates, while Nvidia's strong earnings highlighted the company's dominance in the artificial intelligence sector.
Investors eagerly awaited Nvidia's earnings report, which beat expectations, but the market rally was short-lived due to Federal Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, with the Nasdaq falling over 2% and bulls losing hope; however, there is optimism for a potential turnaround next week with upcoming economic data events.
The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) is a hot trend in 2023, with the potential to add trillions to the global economy by 2030, and billionaire investors are buying into AI stocks like Nvidia, Meta Platforms, Okta, and Microsoft.
The founder of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, argues that the Federal Reserve's rate hikes are fueling economic growth and benefiting the cryptocurrency industry, and believes that AI companies are less reliant on banks and more likely to prosper in the current economic climate. However, he also warns that investing in AI now may not yield immediate returns and that the convergence of AI, crypto, and money printing could result in a significant asset bubble.
The author argues against the common belief that rising interest rates and a rising dollar will negatively impact the stock market, citing historical evidence that contradicts this perspective and emphasizes the importance of analyzing market reality rather than personal beliefs. The author presents a bullish outlook for the market, with a potential rally towards the 4800SPX region, but also acknowledges the possibility of a corrective pullback.
Nvidia predicts a $600 billion AI market opportunity driven by accelerated computing, with $300 billion in chips and systems, $150 billion in generative AI software, and $150 billion in omniverse enterprise software.
Artificial intelligence is a revolutionary technology, but there are concerns that it is a bubble waiting to burst, as evidenced by the soaring stock price of Nvidia.
Leon Cooperman, billionaire investor and founder of Omega Advisors, believes that a US recession is still possible without higher interest rates, and warned of various risks that could trigger it, including the Federal Reserve's tightening campaign, rising oil prices, and the US dollar. He also expressed skepticism about the stock market reaching new highs and advised investing in cheap stocks with share repurchase programs. Additionally, Cooperman compared Nvidia's current stock boom to the 2000 bubble surrounding Cisco.
Nvidia's dominance in the computer chip market for artificial intelligence has led to a significant decline in venture funding for potential rivals, with the number of U.S. deals dropping by 80% from last year. The high cost of developing competing chips coupled with Nvidia's strong position has made investors wary, resulting in a pullback in investment.
Investors are growing increasingly concerned about the ballooning U.S. federal deficit and its potential impact on the bond market's ability to finance the shortfall at current interest rates, according to Yardeni Research.
AI stocks have emerged as the driving force behind the stock market rally, with nearly $500 billion added to the US market cap in 2023, led by companies like NVIDIA and Apple, and the growth prospects of AI continue to be driven by rising demand for software and semiconductor chips.
Goldman Sachs suggests that the recent surge in AI stocks does not indicate a bubble and that we are still in the early stages of an AI revolution, while others remain cautious about potential risks and advise a measured approach to investment in the AI sector.
Investor interest in AI stocks is starting to cool off, according to Vanda Research analysts, who have observed a decline in net purchases and news coverage of AI-related companies, such as Nvidia. However, they believe that this decline in retail demand is unlikely to significantly impact stock prices without active participation from institutional investors. Smaller AI-related companies, like C3.ai, are experiencing a selling trend, while IonQ, a quantum computing company, has been an exception with resilient demand and increasing short interest.
Nvidia's head of enterprise computing, Manuvir Das, believes that the artificial intelligence (AI) market presents a $600 billion opportunity for the company, as demand for AI technology continues to fuel its growth, leading analysts to overlook its undervalued shares and potential for exceptional growth in the years to come.
The Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision will impact stock and bond investors, with a hawkish stance being unfavorable and a dovish stance being favorable.
Investors are more focused on the release of new forecasts from the Federal Reserve, which will reveal their views on the prospect of an economic "soft landing" and the rate environment that will accompany it.
The growing demand for inferencing in artificial intelligence (AI) technology could have significant implications for AI stocks such as Nvidia, with analysts forecasting a shift from AI systems for training to those for inferencing. This could open up opportunities for other companies like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to gain a foothold in the market.
