Chinese Economy Poised to Rebound After Hitting Bottom, Though Headwinds Remain
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Chinese economy expected to stabilize in coming months due to stimulus measures. Growth to pick up after reaching trough in July.
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No clear evidence of deflation yet. Structural reforms to improve resource mobility could boost demand.
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Property market correction likely to continue for 2-3 more years. Policies needed to support housing completions and stimulate demand.
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Average GDP growth of 4% expected over 2024-2028 period. Productivity gains through innovation and manufacturing upgrades are positive trends.
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In long run, strong competitive advantages in strategic sectors like renewables. But slower, healthier growth needed if structural issues like debt are managed.