Study Finds Crime Prediction Software Largely Ineffective in Plainfield, NJ

Crime predictions from Geolitica/PredPol rarely matched actual reported crimes in Plainfield, NJ. Success rate was less than 0.5%.

Out of 23,631 Geolitica predictions analyzed, fewer than 100 aligned with later-reported crimes of the predicted type.

For robbery/assault predictions, the success rate was only 0.6%.

For burglary predictions, the success rate was just 0.1%.

This analysis adds context to debates over the efficacy of crime prediction software like Geolitica/PredPol.