New deep learning model shows promise for improved global earthquake forecasting
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Scientists develop deep learning model RECAST that outperforms traditional models in predicting earthquake aftershocks, especially with larger datasets.
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RECAST demonstrates superior adaptability and scalability compared to existing ETAS model when working with catalogs of 10,000+ events.
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With ability to handle larger datasets, RECAST promises improved global earthquake forecasting by leveraging more comprehensive data.
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RECAST slightly outperforms ETAS in test using real Southern California earthquake catalog data.
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Model's flexibility could allow earthquake forecasts to incorporate multi-regional data to better predict areas with limited information.