South Africa Faces Deepening Debt Crisis and Deteriorating Growth Prospects
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South Africa faces a worsening debt situation, with debt ballooning from $80 billion in 2006 to over $287 billion in 2022. The country is at risk of a sovereign debt default.
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The government's wage bill, especially for civil servants, is unsustainably high and cuts are needed. But this faces resistance from unions.
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South Africa's economic growth has deteriorated over the last 15 years, made worse by corruption under former president Jacob Zuma. COVID-19 also hit the economy hard.
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The budget deficit is expected to be 5-6% of GDP in 2023, much higher than the 4% target. Revenue growth is not keeping pace with debt repayment costs.
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Global economic growth is slowing, projected at just 3% in 2023-24 by the IMF. This makes it harder for South Africa to fix its fiscal problems.