Rising Yields Threaten Stock Market Rally as Investors Favor Bonds
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Stock bulls are betting the Fed will pause rate hikes as higher yields tighten conditions, but this is a risky bet as higher yields threaten valuations.
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The S&P 500 hit a bear market low a year ago but has rallied over 20% since then, with some citing higher yields doing the Fed's tightening work.
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With 10-year Treasury yields now equal to S&P 500 earnings yields, bonds are more attractive, drawing investors from stocks.
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While higher yields reduce the need for Fed hikes, they signal worsening economic outlooks and financial conditions.
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Analysts warn the view that yields ease Fed pressure is flawed as further yield rises remain a threat to equities.