Luxury Shines Bright as Tech Stocks Lose Luster
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French luxury goods companies have outperformed US tech stocks over the past few decades in terms of profit growth, stock performance, and total returns.
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Luxury brands have great pricing power - they can raise prices without denting demand, which increases profitability. Their brand prestige builds over decades, creating a "moat".
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AI may erode the winner-takes-all network effects of Big Tech, making luxury brands relatively more attractive.
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The growth slowdown in China poses a risk for luxury brands, but the bigger risk is if global wealth inequality stops widening.
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Generative AI may hollow out middle-income jobs while boosting the super-wealthy, so luxury brands could be a way to invest in AI's impact.