Posted 10/13/2023, 10:00:04 AM
Rising Treasury Yields Tighten Financial Conditions, Doing Some of Fed's Work
- Recent surge in Treasury yields acting like a rate hike without the Fed raising rates. Tightening financial conditions.
- Higher long-term yields impact mortgages, car loans, other borrowing costs. Slow economic activity.
- Fed officials acknowledge yields doing some of their tightening work for them. But could still hike rates if needed.
- Relying on bond yields brings risks. Could loosen if inflation rises. Circular logic and expectations.
- For now yields allowing slightly less hawkish Fed. But still monitoring data and could hike if warranted.