Posted 3/10/2024, 11:44:01 PM
Beware Overconfidence in AI: Policy Analysts Must Scrutinize Assumptions on Tech Impacts
- Impressions of new technologies like ChatGPT infiltrate assumptions in tech policy analyses, leading to overconfidence about capabilities
- Researchers highlight limits of LLMs like hallucinations and poor reasoning abilities; multimodal systems also unreliable
- Hype distracts from need to scrutinize assumptions underlying policy analyses
- Analysts must make choices about assumptions that constrain policy options considered
- Shared scrutiny of intuitive links between societal needs, tech impacts, and policy challenges is critical