Mild Recession May Be Ahead As Fed Tries To Curb Inflation, Apollo Economist Says
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The US is likely headed for a recession, but it may be milder than past recessions according to Apollo's chief economist.
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This potential recession would be "engineered" by the Fed through interest rate hikes intended to slow inflation.
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When recession hits, the Fed can reverse the measures it took to initially slow the economy.
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Past recessions were caused by specific events like the pandemic, housing crisis, etc. This time the Fed's actions are the culprit but also the potential savior.
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There are some early signs of economic cracking like rising delinquencies and bankruptcies, but so far resilience remains.