Treasury Bond Market in Turmoil as Prices Plunge, Sparking Debate on Debt Crisis vs. Fed Policy Blunders
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Treasury bond market has crashed recently, with prices falling dramatically. This safe asset is suddenly volatile.
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Bearish investors argue too much government debt has flooded the market, causing a supply glut. This could indicate a looming debt crisis.
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Bullish voices counter it's about expectations for growth and interest rates, not just supply. The Fed messed up forecasts.
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Situation is reminiscent of bond vigilantes in the 1980s punishing government spending with selloffs. Unclear if that's happening now.
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Fed wants higher rates for longer, but unclear if bond traders will listen. Question is who will win the bickering match.