Rising Rates Ripple Through Economy, Challenging Old Assumptions
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Rising interest rates are affecting all areas of the economy, from housing to corporate profits. The full impact has yet to be felt due to lags in transmission.
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While interest rate fatigue has set in, this era has rates at its core, tying asset classes together. We can't afford to ignore them.
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Higher rates make the future less valuable, with profound consequences beyond just mortgage payments. Investments are much harder to justify.
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Economists once predicted a 2022 recession with certainty. But resilience of jobs and spending has challenged views on rate potency.
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Relief from further hikes may have to wait. Inflation expectations are still too high. Rates may seem high historically but are just reversing a 40-year downtrend.