Inflation Report in Focus as Markets Brace for More Volatility
-
September CPI report expected to show inflation remains elevated, raising chance of another Fed rate hike this year. Models suggest inflation may run hotter than forecasts.
-
Treasury bond auctions this week important given recent volatility across yield curve. Weak auction could ignite further rise in rates.
-
Bond market volatility translating to equity market weakness as stocks trade with volatility and credit spreads.
-
Job report initially sent rates sharply higher, sparking stock selloff. Rates pulled back as volatility decayed, lifting stocks.
-
Trend of higher rates likely persists given Fed policy, yield curve shape, rise in term premium and potential BOJ shift.