M2 Money Supply Sees Sharpest Drop Since Great Depression, Spooking Investors Despite Modern Safeguards Against Severe Downturn
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M2 money supply has contracted 4.29% since March 2022, the biggest drop since the Great Depression. Past big M2 drops preceded economic depressions.
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Recessions typically lead to stock market drawdowns as corporate earnings get hit.
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However, monetary policy tools are much more advanced than in the 1930s, making a depression unlikely now.
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Historically, recessions and bear markets are short-lived while economic expansions and bull markets last much longer.
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Over the long run, time is on the side of stock market investors. Even with worrying monetary signals now, long-term outlook remains positive.