Tories Squeezed on Three Sides as Graduates Drift Towards Labour, Lib Dems and Reform
-
Graduates are increasingly voting Labour and supporting Remain, while non-graduates are backing the Conservatives and Brexit. This demographic shift favors Labour long-term.
-
The Conservatives are at risk of losing many of their 40 most graduate-heavy seats around London to the resurgent Liberal Democrats.
-
Reform UK (formerly the Brexit Party) led by Nigel Farage is polling around 8% and threatens to peel away disaffected anti-immigration Tory voters.
-
Labour now looks like a moderate, competent alternative under Keir Starmer that can bridge the divide between graduates and non-graduates.
-
The Conservatives thus face losing votes from three directions at once - to Labour nationally, the Lib Dems in southern seats, and Reform UK among their nationalist base.